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In 2016, Trump had no clothes at the corner of E Pike and 11th
Gasp. There are real life Republicans living along the borders of the Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone. Along the eastern edge of Volunteer Park, for example, you will find at least 29 of them. There are at least 14 more living in the blocks around the neighborhood Safeway.
With Donald Trump again holding the party’s presidential nomination in a cynical, conspiracy-filled, hate-centered stranglehold, you have to ask — Just how Trump-y are you Capitol Hill Republicans?
In March’s Washington presidential primary, the answer was: not very.
Precinct data mapped by the Washington Community Alliance shows that Republicans in the wealthiest neighborhoods around Capitol Hill and the Central District were more likely to cast their March vote for challenger Nikki Haley than Trump.
In that Volunteer Park neighborhood around King County Precinct 29, for example, 21 Republican voters chose to support Halley vs. only seven for Trump and one lonely voter for Chris Christie. That Haley-led ratio was matched across much of the Republican vote around Capitol Hill.
In this map, fittingly, the more orange a precinct, the higher percentage of Republicans cast a vote for Trump in the primary
The exception? A cluster of areas of younger, less wealthy Republican voters near the Broadway and Pike/Pine cores and south of Madison where the GOP rose up for their man Donald.
Some of these areas are dominated by a few voters like Precinct 1860 just south of Cal Anderson where only three Republicans cast ballots. But other nearby precincts like Precinct 1857 just north of the park turned in a Trump majority with higher voter counts — yes, there are 14 Republicans living in the blocks just north of Cal Anderson.
In many ways, the voting habits of Capitol HIll’s younger, less wealthy Republicans mirror those of its areas of younger, less wealthy Democrats. Both groups appear more likely to buck the system. Mapping the primary results from March shows many of these same areas also produced the best showing for “uncommitted delegates” in the protest vote against President Joe Biden.
Your takeaways? The Seattle Times believes the International District emerging as “Seattle’s Trumpiest neighborhood” is a sign of shifting politics and more voters of color and less wealthy voters turning to the Republicans while wealthy, whiter areas like Broadmoor reject the party’s far-right. The Times also had to shut down comments on that article because too many “were violating our Code of Conduct.” For neighbors on Capitol Hill who might find themselves split along party lines, hopefully the primary totals offer evidence of at least a small bit of shared ground — most everybody here hates Donald Trump.
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So first off, it appears this graph tops out around 30%; it doesn’t color shade any higher. I’m not quite seeing 30% voting for someone as evidence of an area’s demise, but let’s continue since I do think there’s a real effect happening here.
This real effect is the one that happens when we enable crime and open camping in a neighborhood in the name of various Progressive social justice initiatives and reforms. What happens – a bunch of stuff. The city turns away from Progressives in 2021 and 2023. Or more people – not yet a majority, but more than in 2020 – votes for someone like Trump.
What this means for the nation? Probably nothing. Seattle is deeply indigo blue; it’s not flipping red over a few angry grudge-voters in D3 who are still mad over how much our town was stolen from us by Progressive idiots in 2020.
But nationally? Biden could have his hands full dealing with reactionary voters who see the world similarly – on a variety of topics since 2020, there’s been angry people who are just mad at how things have gone, who aren’t really able to be reasoned with, and who get their news from dubious sources that aren’t really based in facts.
And sure enough we’re seeing an effect of this right here in this map. People ARE mad. Violent crime IS up in Seattle since 2020 – Despite what Progressive gaslighters attempt to claim with out-of-date data. Prices absolutely did go up and wages haven’t caught up yet. The opioid crisis IS absolutely destroying our open spaces and fueling a whole economy based on criminal behavior.
Strap in folks. We will have a very close election this time around, and the guy most of us want to win is very possibly going to be seeing some headwinds he didn’t have 4 years ago.
A lot of wild speculation and hyperbole in your comment to unpack but I’d rather not get into your narrative and point out youth voter turnout was low. That’s the main reason progressive candidate didn’t do better. Save your rambling diatribes for Fox or KOMO news.
I don’t know, you should go read Slate’s article today titled “Men and Women Live on Two Totally Separate Political Planets Right Now.” Young men are getting more conservative, according to most polling, while women are getting more progressive. And anecdotally, based on the guys I know versus my female friends, that actually checks out.
Being unable to turn out your base is a signal of weakening political support, not just a random happenstance. This is a cope. Why wasn’t youth voter turnout a problem four years ago in 2019, when there was a progressive sweep with the same off year election format?
And let’s not forget that the highest number of homicides in Seattle history occured last year deep into Mayor Harrell, City Attorney Davison, and City council president Sara Nelson’s tenures in office after campaigning on law and order platforms. Proceed with your deflecting.
Consider a new argument rather than using this tired reply. Crime and murders started rising during the years prior to the current administration. It’s going to take a bit to turn around the rot that has infested the city. Unless you’d agree to more immediate resolution by completely utilizing jails for crimes committed and government FEMA style tent lots to immediately house our homeless. Drugs not allowed.
Lmao, the town that was stolen by progressives, jfc, not even Kshama’s bumch of Trots was this ridiculous and angled
Our hair covers our horns, and shoes hide our cloven hooves. But when you catch the faintest smell of burnt matchsticks on a beautiful spring day…know that we walk among you.
All kidding aside, it would be fun to do a meetup sometime – for all those outside the capitol hill monoculture.
This is funny! Nice to see some humor in the comments. I hope you get your meetup some day.
Thank you for being nice. It does not go unnoticed.
All kidding aside, if you voted for Trump in 2020 and/or will vote for him in 2024, we’d rather you left. We can differ on many issues but Trump’s politics endanger the lives and livelihoods of many who call Capitol Hill home.
I voted for Hailey, but there’s no need to hyperventilate. Trump’s policies did basically nothing to Capitol Hill, Seattle, King County, or WA.
That’s how our federalist system of government works. The vast amount of control exercised by the government is done so on a state and local level.
Lives are already endangered by current policies, by left-wing Democrats. I don’t like Trump, but it looks like I don’t like the current situation even more. If we can’t find a democratic candidate who is . moderate and can bring the law and order back, there is only one choice, in order to bring some normalcy back. The one, most of you don’t like. Not Biden. At least, after the next four years, there, hopefully, will be someone new and better candidate for everyone.
When I’m walking on Broadway and and on other streets, I see how fast they are changing to the worst, with all the zombies on the streets, including the one, who hit me on my head, just because I was passing by, with all that smell and trash on the streets, I’m willing to vote not just for Trump, but for anybody, who is capable to bring changes, even if they are not all be liked by Democrats. For 25 years I was voting for Democrats, I’m not going to do that this year. And I’m not even a middle class.)) I wish for a sudden appearance of the new, independent candidate, who will get the sweeping votes, who can offer something better, then the current ones. Wishful thinking.
And this helpful how?
The idea of two corporations holding primary “elections” and then trying to discern anything from those “elections” is very specious…
I just wish we had two different choices, but oh well, looks like Biden by default, but I’m not happy about it.
I hate both choices. I think the people that don’t vote are going to be what decides this one though sadly.
To voluntarily choose to vote for Joe Biden would be pretty weird. I mean…he’s a sock puppet. I don;t love Trump, but Biden has turned America into a Ghost Ship.
What alternative reality are you living in…
a “ghost ship” means what exactly…?
Interesting, and consistent with previous elections having more Trump support in CID. But I don’t think we can draw many conclusions from these maps, since they don’t show demographic info for the voters themselves. As you mention, most of the orange boxes on the map represent a handful of Trump voters, many just 1-2.
Looks like all of them read and comment on this blog.
Eight years ago I thought building a wall on our southern boarder was a silly idea. Fast forward to today and stopping the flow of migration is all I want the federal government to do. Trump 2024!
sounds like you were a much wiser person eight years ago. building walls on imaginary lines to separate people is madness. put your maga bible down and get in touch with that person you were eight years ago…he sounds like a much nicer human
Biden didn’t need my primary vote so I voted for Haley just to give Trump lower numbers. I encouraged others to do so.
Although I’m a Democrat, it’s nice to know that most of Republican voters in D3 are moderates and not MAGa-ites. Hopefully, some of them will vote for Biden this November. That would not make a difference in our deep-blue state, but it could make a significant difference in the battleground states.